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Table Math

House edge

What each bet costs, on average

The house edge is the share of every dollar bet that the casino keeps in the long run. It comes from paying wins at less than their true odds; almost every bet works this way, and the few that pay true odds (craps odds) can only be placed alongside a bet that does not. Below, roulette, craps and baccarat are worked out from each bet's chances and payout; blackjack depends on the table's rules and how you play, so its figures are approximate.

What would an evening cost?

Rounds an hour vary a lot by table and crowd; the starting value is only a guess, so change it to match yours.

Example

$63.16

is the average cost of three hours of $10 red/black bets on a double-zero wheel at 40 spins an hour (1,200 dollars wagered at 5.26%). Choose your own numbers.

House edge by bet
BetHouse edgePer $100 betSwing per round
Blackjack
Blackjack, basic strategy (6 decks, 3:2)about 0.50%~$0.50~1.15×
Blackjack paying 6:5, basic strategyabout 1.90%~$1.90~1.15×
Blackjack, playing like the dealerabout 5.50%~$5.50~1.15×
Roulette
Double-zero roulette, red/black5.26%$5.261.00×
Single-zero roulette, red/black2.70%$2.701.00×
Double-zero roulette, one number5.26%$5.265.76×
Craps
Craps, pass line1.41%$1.411.00×
Craps, don't pass1.36%$1.360.99×
Craps, any seven (pays 4 to 1)16.67%$16.671.86×
Baccarat
Baccarat, banker (5% commission)1.06%$1.060.93×
Baccarat, player1.24%$1.240.95×
Baccarat, tie (pays 8 to 1)14.36%$14.362.64×

Where the numbers come from

Double-zero roulette has 38 pockets. Red pays 1 to 1 but wins on only 18 of them: (18 − 20) ÷ 38 = −5.26%. A single number pays 35 to 1 but the true odds are 37 to 1: the same 5.26%. On a single-zero wheel the 37 pockets give 2.70%.

The craps pass line wins 244 times in 495 in the long run; the baccarat figures come from the standard 8-deck odds (banker 45.86%, player 44.62%, tie 9.52%).

What "swing" means

Swing is the standard deviation of one round, in stakes. It is why a short session can end up or down by much more than the edge. Over a few hundred rounds the swing grows with the square root of the number of rounds; the average cost grows with the number itself, so time at the table favours the house.

Blackjack sources: Wizard of Odds (basic-strategy house edge under common 6-deck rules; 6:5 payout adds about 1.4 points; "mimic the dealer" about 5.5%; standard deviation about 1.15).